Octagon Prediction Markets

What you can ask

• Write an event brief for the next Fed rate decision market.Copy

  Example path octagon-prediction-markets-agent · Event brief skill

• What is the Trust Score for this market, and what drives it? <paste a link>
• Is this market mispriced relative to the model? <paste a Kalshi or Polymarket link>

MCP connector

Server URL

https://mcp.octagonai.co/prediction-markets/mcpCopy

Login

OAuth

Tools

Skills

7 in the ChatGPT listing

• Event briefWrite a cited analyst brief on one prediction-market event, covering resolution criteria, the current market-implied probability, base rates, drivers, and the catalyst calendar.
• Get startedIntroduce Octagon Prediction Markets, explain what prediction-market data is and how to connect, and suggest first requests.
• Mispricing analysisCompare a prediction market's implied probability with Octagon's independent model estimate and report the mispricing, its size and direction, the confidence behind each estimate, and how similar gaps have resolved historically.
• Octagon statusCheck whether Octagon is connected and summarize the prediction-market tools that are currently available.
• Prediction markets analysisResearch a prediction market on Kalshi or Polymarket with the Octagon prediction-markets agent.
• Probability historyAnalyze how a prediction market's probability has moved over time, including the largest moves, regime changes, and the events that explain each move.
• Trust scoreExplain and retrieve the Octagon Trust Score for a Kalshi or Polymarket market: a 0–100 score of whether the market can be rigged and whether its price can be trusted, with the pillars and screens behind it.